Board Resignations Predictions & Odds· 101 markets
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?
$199k Vol.
$8k Liq.
6
Ends in about 7 hours
$199k Vol.$8k Liq.6Ends in about 7 hours
0%
Yes
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?
$107k Vol.
$6k Liq.
54
Ends in 3 months
$107k Vol.$6k Liq.54Ends in 3 months
76%
Yes
yale · NCAA
Vicky Chun out as Yale AD by June 30, 2026?
$144 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$144 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
$536k Vol.
$41k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$536k Vol.$41k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
43%
Dan Clancy - Twitch
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?
$6k Vol.
$5k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$6k Vol.$5k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
9%
Yes
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31?
$74k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$74k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
1%
Yes
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.5m Vol.
$235k Liq.
🔥$125k today
Ends in 9 months
$2.5m Vol.🔥$125k today$235k Liq.Ends in 9 months
57%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
Trump out as President by April 30?
$227k Vol.
$149k Liq.
🔥$110k today
Ends in about 1 month
$227k Vol.🔥$110k today$149k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
2%
Yes
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
$403k Vol.
$124k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$403k Vol.$124k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
62%
Kristi Noem
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$82k Vol.
$21k Liq.
8
Ends in about 7 hours
$82k Vol.$21k Liq.8Ends in about 7 hours
1%
Yes
Trump out as President by June 30?
$1.7m Vol.
$720k Liq.
🔥$80k today
Ends in 3 months
$1.7m Vol.🔥$80k today$720k Liq.Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes
Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
$75k Vol.
$130k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
$75k Vol.$130k Liq.14Ends in 9 months
17%
Dong Jun
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$527k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$527k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$312k Vol.
$12k Liq.
27
Ends in about 7 hours
$312k Vol.$12k Liq.27Ends in about 7 hours
0%
Yes
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
$299k Vol.
$38k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$299k Vol.$38k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
Trump out as President before 2027?
$5.4m Vol.
$375k Liq.
🔥$205k today
1
Ends in 9 months
$5.4m Vol.🔥$205k today$375k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
27%
June 30
Trump out as President by March 31?
$13.4m Vol.
$3.4m Liq.
🔥$558k today
Ends in about 7 hours
$13.4m Vol.🔥$558k today$3.4m Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
0%
Yes
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?
$166k Vol.
$36k Liq.
67
Ends in 9 months
$166k Vol.$36k Liq.67Ends in 9 months
17%
December 31, 2026
Netanyahu out by...?
$89.3m Vol.
$4.7m Liq.
🔥$5.9m today
33
Ends in 9 months
$89.3m Vol.🔥$5.9m today$4.7m Liq.33Ends in 9 months
44%
December 31