Board Resignations Predictions & Odds· 101 markets
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?
$199k Vol.
$13k Liq.
6
Ends in about 5 hours
$199k Vol.$13k Liq.6Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?
$107k Vol.
$4k Liq.
54
Ends in 3 months
$107k Vol.$4k Liq.54Ends in 3 months
76%
Yes
yale · NCAA
Vicky Chun out as Yale AD by June 30, 2026?
$144 Vol.
$447 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$144 Vol.$447 Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
$536k Vol.
$40k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$536k Vol.$40k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
39%
Dan Clancy - Twitch
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?
$6k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$6k Vol.$3k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
9%
Yes
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31?
$74k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$74k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
1%
Yes
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.5m Vol.
$180k Liq.
🔥$85k today
Ends in 9 months
$2.5m Vol.🔥$85k today$180k Liq.Ends in 9 months
58%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
Trump out as President by April 30?
$229k Vol.
$153k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$229k Vol.$153k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
2%
Yes
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
$403k Vol.
$85k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$403k Vol.$85k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
62%
Kristi Noem
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$82k Vol.
$20k Liq.
8
Ends in about 5 hours
$82k Vol.$20k Liq.8Ends in about 5 hours
1%
Yes
Trump out as President by June 30?
$1.8m Vol.
$763k Liq.
🔥$171k today
Ends in 3 months
$1.8m Vol.🔥$171k today$763k Liq.Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
$75k Vol.
$90k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
$75k Vol.$90k Liq.14Ends in 9 months
17%
Dong Jun
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$410k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$410k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$312k Vol.
$11k Liq.
27
Ends in about 5 hours
$312k Vol.$11k Liq.27Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
$299k Vol.
$38k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$299k Vol.$38k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
Trump out as President before 2027?
$5.4m Vol.
$375k Liq.
🔥$210k today
1
Ends in 9 months
$5.4m Vol.🔥$210k today$375k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
26%
June 30
Trump out as President by March 31?
$13.4m Vol.
$2.3m Liq.
🔥$568k today
Ends in about 5 hours
$13.4m Vol.🔥$568k today$2.3m Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?
$166k Vol.
$34k Liq.
67
Ends in 9 months
$166k Vol.$34k Liq.67Ends in 9 months
17%
December 31, 2026
Netanyahu out by...?
$89.4m Vol.
$4.8m Liq.
🔥$5.7m today
33
Ends in 9 months
$89.4m Vol.🔥$5.7m today$4.8m Liq.33Ends in 9 months
42%
December 31