Borders Predictions & Odds· 142 markets
I
34%
December 31, 2026
K
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?
$31k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$31k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in 30 days
3%
Yes
U
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
$2.3m Vol.
$34k Liq.
123
Ends in 9 months
$2.3m Vol.$34k Liq.123Ends in 9 months
15%
December 31, 2026
U
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
$83k Vol.
$13k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$83k Vol.$13k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
U
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
$69k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$69k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
K
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
$108k Vol.
$17k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
$108k Vol.$17k Liq.10Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
U
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
$15k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$15k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
M
46%
Yes
W
9%
Isfahan nuclear facility
W
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1?
$58k Vol.
$0 Liq.
39
Ended
$58k Vol.$0 Liq.39Ended
Yes
W
All
Will fully vaccinated non-essential Canadian travelers be permitted to cross into the US through the land borders by September 1, 2021?
$18k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$18k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
W
All
Will there be more than 5 million Ukrainian refugees by April 30, 2022?
$120k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$120k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
W
All
Will there be more than 4 million Ukrainian refugees by March 24?
$166k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$166k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
All
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week?
$106k Vol.
$0 Liq.
62
Ended
$106k Vol.$0 Liq.62Ended
Yes
U
29 November 2025
P
October 31
A
Weather · Science
Another 5.0 or above earthquake in Greece by September 30?
$23k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended
$23k Vol.$0 Liq.6Ended
No
