Business Predictions & Odds· 1018 markets

Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

$48k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

36%

Yes

Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?

Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?

$160k Vol.
$6k Liq.
7
Ends in about 8 hours

1%

Yes

Canada recession before 2027?

Canada recession before 2027?

$52k Vol.
$21k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

42%

Yes

Largest Company end of March?

Largest Company end of March?

$19.7m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$354k today
Ends in about 8 hours

100%

NVIDIA

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$14.7m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$275k today
58
Ends in 9 months

36%

0 (0 bps)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

$1.5m Vol.
$74k Liq.
🔥$200k today
5

52%

1.5T-2.0T

Largest Company end of April?

Largest Company end of April?

$843k Vol.
$277k Liq.
🔥$154k today
Ends in about 1 month

92%

NVIDIA

2nd largest company end of March?

2nd largest company end of March?

$2.7m Vol.
$463k Liq.
🔥$101k today
4
Ends in about 8 hours

100%

Apple

IPOs before 2027?

IPOs before 2027?

$5.2m Vol.
$160k Liq.
🔥$58k today
2
Ends in 9 months

93%

SpaceX

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

$22.0m Vol.
$236k Liq.
237
Ended

14%

December 31, 2026

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

$1.4m Vol.
$55k Liq.
24
Ends in 3 months

28%

OpenAI

How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?

How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?

$811k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours

72%

350k–375k

Largest Company end of December 2026?

Largest Company end of December 2026?

$1.4m Vol.
$508k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

56%

NVIDIA

US GDP growth in Q1 2026?

US GDP growth in Q1 2026?

$225k Vol.
$20k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month

27%

2.0–2.5%

Largest Company end of June?

Largest Company end of June?

$3.6m Vol.
$398k Liq.
79
Ends in 3 months

75%

NVIDIA

Will Trump Mobile release a phone by...?

Will Trump Mobile release a phone by...?

$28k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

23%

June 30

2nd largest company end of April?

2nd largest company end of April?

$920k Vol.
$133k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

69%

Apple

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

$1.2m Vol.
$84k Liq.
16
Ends in almost 2 years

36%

Goldman Sachs

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

$17.3m Vol.
$67k Liq.
19
Ends in 9 months

69%

Caesars Entertainment

3rd largest company end of March?

3rd largest company end of March?

$1.0m Vol.
$161k Liq.
1
Ends in about 8 hours

100%

Alphabet