Chair Of The Federal Reserve Predictions & Odds· 116 markets
Trump · Fed Rates
Trump drops Powell investigation by…?
$4k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 3 months
64%
June 30
Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?
$72k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$72k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in 3 months
94%
Thom Tillis
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
$65k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$65k Vol.$31k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
3%
Yes
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$15.7m Vol.
$1.7m Liq.
🔥$241k today
69
Ends in 7 months
$15.7m Vol.🔥$241k today$1.7m Liq.69Ends in 7 months
95%
Kevin Warsh
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?
$435k Vol.
$23k Liq.
11
Ends in about 2 months
$435k Vol.$23k Liq.11Ends in about 2 months
53%
May 15
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$32k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$32k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
47%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Parlays · Hide From New
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
$65k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$65k Vol.$52k Liq.Ends in 9 months
80%
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
$211 Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$211 Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 9 months
35%
60+
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$117k Vol.
$15k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$117k Vol.$15k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
70%
December 31
Will Trump try to Fire Powell by March 31?
$48k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$48k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
0%
Yes
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
$1.8m Vol.
$136k Liq.
37
Ends in about 1 month
$1.8m Vol.$136k Liq.37Ends in about 1 month
2%
May 14
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
53%
>5%
83%
Pause–Pause–Pause
97%
Pause–Pause–Pause
Fed Decision in June?
$4.7m Vol.
$741k Liq.
🔥$205k today
13
Ends in 3 months
$4.7m Vol.🔥$205k today$741k Liq.13Ends in 3 months
88%
No change
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.5m Vol.
$192k Liq.
🔥$112k today
Ends in 9 months
$2.5m Vol.🔥$112k today$192k Liq.Ends in 9 months
58%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31?
$74k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$74k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
1%
Yes
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$400k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$400k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$135 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$135 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up
How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?
$8k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in about 6 hours
$8k Vol.$14k Liq.1Ends in about 6 hours
78%
25 - 30 minutes