Chair Of The Federal Reserve Predictions & Odds· 116 markets
Trump · Fed Rates
Trump drops Powell investigation by…?
$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 3 months
63%
June 30
Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?
$72k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$72k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in 3 months
94%
Thom Tillis
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
$65k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$65k Vol.$31k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
3%
Yes
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$15.7m Vol.
$1.9m Liq.
🔥$351k today
72
Ends in 7 months
$15.7m Vol.🔥$351k today$1.9m Liq.72Ends in 7 months
95%
Kevin Warsh
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?
$435k Vol.
$24k Liq.
11
Ends in about 2 months
$435k Vol.$24k Liq.11Ends in about 2 months
53%
May 15
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$35k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$35k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
51%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Parlays · Hide From New
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
$40k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$40k Vol.$52k Liq.Ends in 9 months
78%
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
$211 Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$211 Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 9 months
34%
54
Will Trump try to Fire Powell by March 31?
$48k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours
$48k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in about 10 hours
0%
Yes
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$117k Vol.
$15k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$117k Vol.$15k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
71%
December 31
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
$1.8m Vol.
$144k Liq.
36
Ends in about 1 month
$1.8m Vol.$144k Liq.36Ends in about 1 month
2%
May 14
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 10 hours
53%
>5%
83%
Pause–Pause–Pause
97%
Pause–Pause–Pause
Fed Decision in June?
$4.6m Vol.
$905k Liq.
🔥$234k today
11
Ends in 3 months
$4.6m Vol.🔥$234k today$905k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
88%
No change
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.5m Vol.
$346k Liq.
🔥$239k today
Ends in 9 months
$2.5m Vol.🔥$239k today$346k Liq.Ends in 9 months
57%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31?
$74k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours
$74k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 10 hours
1%
Yes
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$536k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$536k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$139 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$139 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up
How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?
$154 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours
$154 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 10 hours
53%
<15 minutes