Chinese Pneumonia Outbreak Predictions & Odds· 101 markets
W
Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
$94k Vol.
$132k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
$94k Vol.$132k Liq.14Ends in 9 months
17%
Dong Jun
U
US x China Military clash before 2027?
$54k Vol.
$29k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$54k Vol.$29k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes
C
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
$550k Vol.
$69k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$550k Vol.$69k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
N
8%
Yes
C
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
$209k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$209k Vol.$49k Liq.Ends in 9 months
23%
Yes
C
20%
-0.9 – -0.5%
C
China coup attempt before 2027?
$111k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$111k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes
Z
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
$93k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$93k Vol.$43k Liq.Ends in 9 months
12%
Yes
C
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
$1.5m Vol.
$123k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$1.5m Vol.$123k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
C
71%
4.0–5.0%
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$75k Vol.
$23k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$75k Vol.$23k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
54%
Yes
C
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?
$233k Vol.
$61k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
$233k Vol.$61k Liq.Ends in 14 days
54%
4.5-5.0%
X
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$7.7m Vol.
$313k Liq.
705
Ends in 9 months
$7.7m Vol.$313k Liq.705Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
F
Science · Pandemics
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?
$14k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$14k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
94%
80–85
C
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?
$66k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$66k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
X
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
$75k Vol.
$20k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
$75k Vol.$20k Liq.14Ends in 9 months
2%
Yes
W
who · public health
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for Chinese pneumonia outbreak in 2023?
$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$11k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
No
R
China · global health
Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1?
$14k Vol.
$2 Liq.
2
Ended
$14k Vol.$2 Liq.2Ended
No
W
All
Will China report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average by May 1?
$323k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$323k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended