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Emergency Predictions & Odds· 408 markets

AllPoliticsCryptoScienceBusinessFinanceTrumpFedChinaChile ElectionCrypto PricesFranceTechCourtsFed RatesGeopoliticsEconomyFOMCTrump PresidencyDrugParlaysFDAMailJerome PowellBudgetRecurringTariffsTrade WarEconomic PolicyWorldMacro IndicatorsUp Or DownHype15M4HGLPChinese PeptidesEli LillyVoter IDMachine
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Finance·Business

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

$74k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

19%

Yes

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

Politics·Trump

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

$136k Vol.
$11k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months

28%

Yes

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Economy·Business

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$14.7m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$278k today
58
Ends in 9 months

35%

0 (0 bps)

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Economy·Jerome Powell

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

$1.3m Vol.
$199k Liq.
🔥$139k today
17
Ends in 9 months

64%

↓ 3.25%

Fed rate cut by...?

Economy·Fed

Fed rate cut by...?

$1.2m Vol.
$178k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months

64%

December Meeting

Nothing Ever Happens: March

World·Parlays

Nothing Ever Happens: March

$292k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours

70%

Nothing

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Politics·Tariffs

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

$328k Vol.
$16k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months

50%

Yes

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

Politics·France

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

48%

Yes

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$715k Vol.
$113k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

83%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Economy·Economic Policy

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$391k Vol.
$98k Liq.
20
Ends in 29 days

97%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

$65k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

80%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$2k Vol.
$135k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

76%

Pause–Pause–Pause

State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?

World·Chile Election

State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?

$30k Vol.
$11k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months

14%

Yes

New Trump executive order to restrict voting by March 31?

Politics·mail

New Trump executive order to restrict voting by March 31?

$754 Vol.
$729 Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours

1%

Yes

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

Tech·drug

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

$544k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months

24%

Yes

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Economy

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

24%

Yes

Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 31, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 31, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 1 day

50%

Up

Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

$16 Vol.
$8 Liq.
Ends in about 1 hour

46%

Up

Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Crypto·Crypto Prices

Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

$0 Vol.
$681 Liq.
Ends in about 2 hours

50%

Up

Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 30, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 30, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

$0 Vol.
$871 Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours

50%

Up