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Emergency Predictions & Odds· 132 markets

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Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Finance·Business

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

$74k Vol.
$19k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

17%

Yes

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

Politics·Trump

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

$136k Vol.
$10k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months

28%

Yes

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Economy·Business

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$14.8m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$276k today
59
Ends in 9 months

37%

0 (0 bps)

Fed rate cut by...?

Economy·Fed

Fed rate cut by...?

$1.2m Vol.
$181k Liq.
17
Ends in 3 months

64%

December Meeting

Nothing Ever Happens: March

World·Parlays

Nothing Ever Happens: March

$294k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ended

75%

Nothing

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Economy·Jerome Powell

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

$1.3m Vol.
$186k Liq.
18
Ends in 9 months

63%

↓ 3.25%

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Politics·Tariffs

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

$328k Vol.
$16k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months

50%

Yes

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

Politics·France

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

$3k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

48%

Yes

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$715k Vol.
$116k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

82%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Economy·Economic Policy

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$392k Vol.
$94k Liq.
23
Ends in 29 days

97%

Pause–Pause–Pause

State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?

World·Chile Election

State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?

$32k Vol.
$11k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months

14%

Yes

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$2k Vol.
$136k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

75%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

$65k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

80%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

New Trump executive order to restrict voting by March 31?

Politics·mail

New Trump executive order to restrict voting by March 31?

$756 Vol.
$691 Liq.
Ended

1%

Yes

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

Tech·drug

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

$544k Vol.
$4k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months

24%

Yes

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Economy

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

24%

Yes

Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 31, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 31, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 22 hours

50%

Up

Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 31, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 31, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours

50%

Up

Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

$0 Vol.
$534 Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours

50%

Up

Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

$0 Vol.
$351 Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours

50%

Up