Chinese Pneumonia Outbreak Predictions & Odds· 101 markets
Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
$75k Vol.
$96k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
$75k Vol.$96k Liq.14Ends in 9 months
17%
Dong Jun
US x China Military clash before 2027?
$53k Vol.
$21k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$53k Vol.$21k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
$515k Vol.
$57k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$515k Vol.$57k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
9%
Yes
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
$196k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$196k Vol.$57k Liq.Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
24%
<-1.0%
China coup attempt before 2027?
$111k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$111k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
$93k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$93k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
$1.5m Vol.
$83k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$1.5m Vol.$83k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
72%
4.0–5.0%
health · Science
Nipah virus in US by March 31?
$46k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in about 5 hours
$46k Vol.$6k Liq.1Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$64k Vol.
$13k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$64k Vol.$13k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
42%
Yes
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?
$204k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in 17 days
$204k Vol.$51k Liq.Ends in 17 days
71%
4.5-5.0%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$7.6m Vol.
$170k Liq.
706
Ends in 9 months
$7.6m Vol.$170k Liq.706Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
Science · Pandemics
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?
$8k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$8k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 3 days
96%
80–85
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
$74k Vol.
$20k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
$74k Vol.$20k Liq.14Ends in 9 months
2%
Yes
who · public health
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for Chinese pneumonia outbreak in 2023?
$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$11k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
No
China · global health
Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1?
$14k Vol.
$2 Liq.
2
Ended
$14k Vol.$2 Liq.2Ended
No