Climate Change Predictions & Odds· 334 markets
M
Weather · climate
Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?
$37k Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in about 19 hours
$37k Vol.$8k Liq.2Ends in about 19 hours
98%
14.2-14.4m sq km
M
Weather · climate
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
$28k Vol.
$4k Liq.
6
Ends in 6 months
$28k Vol.$4k Liq.6Ends in 6 months
40%
<4m sq km
T
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
$58k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$58k Vol.$8k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$30k Vol.
$17k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days
$30k Vol.$17k Liq.4Ends in 30 days
39%
April 30
M
46%
Yes
W
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$2.4m Vol.
$116k Liq.
20
Ends in 9 months
$2.4m Vol.$116k Liq.20Ends in 9 months
45%
2
W
What price will Aster hit in 2026?
$64k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$64k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
75%
↓ 0.40
2
2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
$271k Vol.
$16k Liq.
1
Ends in 10 days
$271k Vol.$16k Liq.1Ends in 10 days
98%
4th or lower
W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
$596k Vol.
$34k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$596k Vol.$34k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
15%
↑ $4
2
Science · Weather
2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$2k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
41%
3rd hottest
I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$29k Vol.
$9k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$29k Vol.$9k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
37%
Leadership Change
A
Weather · Science
April 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
$18k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$18k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
32%
1.20–1.24ºC
W
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
$112k Vol.
$5k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$112k Vol.$5k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
74%
Yes
W
What price will Plasma hit in 2026?
$291k Vol.
$2k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$291k Vol.$2k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
51%
↑ 0.50
W
What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?
$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 23 hours
$3k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 23 hours
40%
↓ 39000
W
What price will BNB hit in 2026?
$85k Vol.
$44k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$85k Vol.$44k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
69%
↓ 500
W
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of March 30 2026?
$344 Vol.
$41 Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$344 Vol.$41 Liq.Ends in 4 days
50%
↑ $3.70
W
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?
$621k Vol.
$124k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$621k Vol.$124k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
74%
↑ 46