Climate Science Predictions & Odds· 260 markets
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
$3.9m Vol.
$186k Liq.
🔥$93k today
170
Ends in almost 2 years
$3.9m Vol.🔥$93k today$186k Liq.170Ends in almost 2 years
62%
Other
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)
$2.9m Vol.
$221k Liq.
42
Ends in almost 2 years
$2.9m Vol.$221k Liq.42Ends in almost 2 years
94%
1T+
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$7.5m Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7.5m Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in 9 months
98%
↑2k
NASA Artemis II
$699k Vol.
$26k Liq.
94
Ends in about 11 hours
$699k Vol.$26k Liq.94Ends in about 11 hours
83%
April 30
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
$1.2m Vol.
$92k Liq.
16
Ends in almost 2 years
$1.2m Vol.$92k Liq.16Ends in almost 2 years
36%
Goldman Sachs
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1.1m Vol.$35k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
11–13
Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?
$386k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$386k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
1%
1600
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
$1.7m Vol.
$74k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
$1.7m Vol.$74k Liq.22Ends in 3 months
66%
8+
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$666k Vol.
$22k Liq.
9
Ends in about 1 year
$666k Vol.$22k Liq.9Ends in about 1 year
43%
1
Precipitation in Seattle in March?
$321k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$321k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
95%
5-6"
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
$348k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$348k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in 9 months
37%
5-6
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)
$649k Vol.
$97k Liq.
8
Ends in almost 2 years
$649k Vol.$97k Liq.8Ends in almost 2 years
46%
2.0T+
Precipitation in NYC in March?
$172k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$172k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
82%
3-4"
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$1.6m Vol.
$258k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$1.6m Vol.$258k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
90%
SpaceX
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$528k Vol.
$27k Liq.
26
Ends in 9 months
$528k Vol.$27k Liq.26Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$892k Vol.
$124k Liq.
17
Ends in almost 2 years
$892k Vol.$124k Liq.17Ends in almost 2 years
94%
>$1T
March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
$208k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$208k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 10 days
46%
1.25–1.29ºC
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$168k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$168k Vol.$12k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$2.4m Vol.
$126k Liq.
19
Ends in 9 months
$2.4m Vol.$126k Liq.19Ends in 9 months
46%
2