Conflict Resolution Predictions & Odds· 213 markets

Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?

Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?

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2%

India

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

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25%

Yes

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?

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0%

Yes

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?

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16%

Yes

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

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20,363
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0%

Yes

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

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3%

Yes

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

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Ends in 3 months

14%

Yes

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

12%

Yes

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

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15
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4%

Yes

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

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7
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28%

Yes

What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (April 5)

What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (April 5)

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87%

Trump

Will Hamas surrender in 2023?

Will Hamas surrender in 2023?

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8
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No

Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire before February?

Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire before February?

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Ended

No

Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30?

Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30?

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12
Ended

Yes

 Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023?

Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023?

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$0 Liq.
10
Ended

Yes

Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17?

Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17?

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11
Ended

No

Will Hamas surrender before February?

Will Hamas surrender before February?

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Ended

No

Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 10 days?

Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 10 days?

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1
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No

More hostages in Gaza freed before April?

More hostages in Gaza freed before April?

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Ended

No