Humanitarian Pause Predictions & Odds· 201 markets
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$62.5m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$2.7m today
1,246
$62.5m Vol.🔥$2.7m today$1.5m Liq.1,246
73%
December 31
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
$387k Vol.
$46k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$387k Vol.$46k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
40%
June 30
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
$52k Vol.
$11k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
$52k Vol.$11k Liq.7Ends in 3 months
30%
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$62k Vol.
$14k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$62k Vol.$14k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
47%
Yes
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$96k Vol.
$48k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$96k Vol.$48k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
48%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
34%
Leadership Change
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
$29.5m Vol.
$389k Liq.
🔥$557k today
20,363
Ends in about 13 hours
$29.5m Vol.🔥$557k today$389k Liq.20,363Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
$12.4m Vol.
$472k Liq.
🔥$81k today
5,424
Ends in 9 months
$12.4m Vol.🔥$81k today$472k Liq.5,424Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$280k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$1.1m Vol.$280k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
3%
Yes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
$3.7m Vol.
$358k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$3.7m Vol.$358k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
$66k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$66k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
$185k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$185k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?
$126k Vol.
$9k Liq.
26
Ends in about 13 hours
$126k Vol.$9k Liq.26Ends in about 13 hours
1%
Yes
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?
$385k Vol.
$90k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$385k Vol.$90k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?
$55k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$55k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
32%
December 31, 2026
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs
$495 Vol.
$3 Liq.
Ended
$495 Vol.$3 Liq.Ended
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group D
$0 Vol.
$808 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$0 Vol.$808 Liq.Ends in 1 day
49%
MINLATE
Esports · Overwatch
Overwatch: 99DIVINE vs Please Not Hero Ban (BO3) - OCS Japan Stage 1 Regular Season
$4k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$4k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
0%
99DIVINE
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Acend (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs
$4k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$4k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
83%
Heroic