Conflict Predictions & Odds· 229 markets
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
$56k Vol.
$8k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
$56k Vol.$8k Liq.7Ends in 3 months
28%
Yes
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
$8.7m Vol.
$552k Liq.
🔥$319k today
326
Ends in about 4 hours
$8.7m Vol.🔥$319k today$552k Liq.326Ends in about 4 hours
73%
December 31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
$29.5m Vol.
$389k Liq.
🔥$557k today
20,364
Ends in about 4 hours
$29.5m Vol.🔥$557k today$389k Liq.20,364Ends in about 4 hours
0%
Yes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$224k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$1.1m Vol.$224k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
3%
Yes
Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?
$3.4m Vol.
$146k Liq.
130
Ends in about 4 hours
$3.4m Vol.$146k Liq.130Ends in about 4 hours
2%
India
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
$3.7m Vol.
$324k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$3.7m Vol.$324k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?
$92k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$92k Vol.$42k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
0%
Yes
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?
$6k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$6k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
16%
Yes
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
$26k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$26k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 9 months
25%
Yes
What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (April 5)
$1k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$1k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 5 days
87%
War / Conflict
US x Russia military clash by...?
$583k Vol.
$21k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$583k Vol.$21k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
10%
December 31, 2026
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
$90k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$90k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 9 months
20%
Yes
US x China Military clash before 2027?
$53k Vol.
$20k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$53k Vol.$20k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
$26k Vol.
$19k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$26k Vol.$19k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
$462k Vol.
$18k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
$462k Vol.$18k Liq.10Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
$1.5m Vol.
$82k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$1.5m Vol.$82k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
$60k Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$60k Vol.$17k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
42%
Yes