Conservative Predictions & Odds· 112 markets

B
B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

42%

Caroline Elliott

$23k Vol.
$53k Liq.
2
Ends in about 2 months
P
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

28%

Yes

$134k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
C
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?

20%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
D
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?

13%

Yes

$734 Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
C
Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: 3rd Place

98%

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)

$11.1m Vol.
$43k Liq.
🔥$2.8m today
16
Ended
W
Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

95%

Moderates

$67k Vol.
$53k Liq.
9
Ended
C
Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: Second Place

94%

Centro Democrático (CD)

$104k Vol.
$12k Liq.
9
Ended
S
Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

Politics · World

Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

97%

Scottish National Party

$1.6m Vol.
$79k Liq.
9
Ends in 23 days
W
Wales Parliamentary Election Winner

Politics · Elections

Wales Parliamentary Election Winner

81%

Plaid Cymru

$31k Vol.
$44k Liq.
3
Ends in 23 days
S
SC-01 Republican Primary Winner

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner

43%

Mark Smith

$7k Vol.
$22k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
O
OH-01 Republican Primary Winner

OH-01 Republican Primary Winner

53%

Eric Conroy

$13k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 21 days
C
CO-03 Republican Primary Winner

96%

Jeff Hurd

$8k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
F
FL-19 Republican Primary Winner

FL-19 Republican Primary Winner

46%

Catalina Lauf

$21k Vol.
$39k Liq.
1
Ends in 4 months
I
IN-04 Republican Primary Winner

IN-04 Republican Primary Winner

72%

Jim Baird

$1k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 21 days
W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

16%

↑ $4

$615k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
T
TX-19 Republican Primary Winner

TX-19 Republican Primary Winner

88%

Tom Sell

$65k Vol.
$46k Liq.
7
Ends in about 1 month
O
OH-09 Republican Primary Winner

OH-09 Republican Primary Winner

69%

Derek Merrin

$8k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in 21 days
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

92%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
U
UK election called by...?

Starmer · uk

UK election called by...?

3%

Yes

$742k Vol.
$2k Liq.
13
Ended
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

3%

Yes

$67k Vol.
$21k Liq.
6
Ends in 7 months