Conservative Predictions & Odds· 211 markets

B
B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

42%

Caroline Elliott

$23k Vol.
$53k Liq.
2
Ends in about 2 months
P
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

28%

Yes

$134k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
C
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?

20%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
D
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?

13%

Yes

$734 Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
C
Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: 3rd Place

98%

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)

$11.1m Vol.
$43k Liq.
🔥$2.8m today
16
Ended
W
Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

95%

Moderates

$67k Vol.
$53k Liq.
9
Ended
C
Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: Second Place

94%

Centro Democrático (CD)

$104k Vol.
$12k Liq.
9
Ended
S
Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

Politics · World

Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

97%

Scottish National Party

$1.6m Vol.
$79k Liq.
9
Ends in 23 days
W
Wales Parliamentary Election Winner

Politics · Elections

Wales Parliamentary Election Winner

81%

Plaid Cymru

$31k Vol.
$44k Liq.
3
Ends in 23 days
C
Conservative Party % of vote in Canada Election?

41–44%

$161k Vol.
$0 Liq.
14
Ended
W
Will the Conservative Party win 13+ seats in Quebec?

No

$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
W
Will the Conservative Party win 7+ seats in Atlantic Canada?

Yes

$259k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended
#
# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

<125

$283k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
L
Liberal vs. Conservative polling margin Friday?

6-7%

$38k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
L
Liberal vs. Conservative polling margin Friday?

Liberals lead by 5% or more

$79k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
#
# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (0-125)

100-124

$20k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended