Deadline Predictions & Odds· 119 markets
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
$9.1m Vol.
$156k Liq.
264
Ends in 9 months
$9.1m Vol.$156k Liq.264Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?
$67k Vol.
$52k Liq.
5
Ends in 5 months
$67k Vol.$52k Liq.5Ends in 5 months
56%
7
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
$240k Vol.
$17k Liq.
27
Ends in 9 months
$240k Vol.$17k Liq.27Ends in 9 months
41%
Yes
How many Republican House members not running in 2026?
$50k Vol.
$32k Liq.
4
Ends in 5 months
$50k Vol.$32k Liq.4Ends in 5 months
41%
36–39
24%
Yes
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
$31k Vol.
$65k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$31k Vol.$65k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
3%
Yes
California voter ID referendum passes?
$0 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 7 months
22%
Yes
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
cs2 · Esports
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by...?
$271k Vol.
$8k Liq.
24
Ended
$271k Vol.$8k Liq.24Ended
14%
June 30
How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?
$7k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 5 months
$7k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 5 months
32%
24–27
How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?
$500 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$500 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
44%
<15 minutes
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$312k Vol.
$11k Liq.
27
Ends in about 9 hours
$312k Vol.$11k Liq.27Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
Ukraine hits Moscow by...?
$139k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$139k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
12%
April 30
22%
Yes
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$82k Vol.
$20k Liq.
8
Ends in about 9 hours
$82k Vol.$20k Liq.8Ends in about 9 hours
1%
Yes
Which banks will fail by June 30?
$355k Vol.
$92k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
$355k Vol.$92k Liq.7Ends in 3 months
3%
Scotiabank
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
$582k Vol.
$8k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
$582k Vol.$8k Liq.37Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
$259 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$259 Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
82%
TSA
Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$3k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 4 days
41%
40-59