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U
US defaults on debt by 2027?

Politics · Economy

US defaults on debt by 2027?

$15k Vol.
$24k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

5%

Yes

P
Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Politics · Economy

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

$9k Vol.
$21k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

93%

$40 trillion

E
EU debt downgrade before 2027?

World · Economy

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

$794 Vol.
$231 Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

35%

Yes

A
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

Economy · Politics

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

$8k Vol.
$9k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months

36%

Yes

A
Any EU nation's debt downgraded before 2027?

Politics · Economy

Any EU nation's debt downgraded before 2027?

$414 Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

61%

Yes

O
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

Tech·OpenAI

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

$100k Vol.
$5k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months

26%

Yes

N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Geopolitics·Parlays

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

$441k Vol.
$29k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months

30%

Yes

F
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$715k Vol.
$115k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

84%

Pause–Pause–Pause

W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Geopolitics·Trump

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$30k Vol.
$16k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days

39%

April 30

F
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Economy·Economic Policy

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$392k Vol.
$99k Liq.
23
Ends in 29 days

97%

Pause–Pause–Pause

F
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$2k Vol.
$136k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

74%

Pause–Pause–Pause

W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

Politics·Iran

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$380k Vol.
$16k Liq.
70

9%

Isfahan nuclear facility

N
Nothing Ever Happens: March

World·Parlays

Nothing Ever Happens: March

$296k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ended

70%

Nothing

A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Politics·Midterms

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

$254k Vol.
$21k Liq.
12
Ends in 7 months

83%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

W
White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

Politics·Tweet Markets

White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

$773 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 10 days

45%

160-179

T
Taliban blackmail of D.C. shooter confirmed by March 31?

Culture · Politics

Taliban blackmail of D.C. shooter confirmed by March 31?

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ended

3%

Yes

W
White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

Politics·Rewards 50, 4.5, 100

White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

$250k Vol.
$12k Liq.
🔥$102k today
Ends in about 9 hours

97%

160-179

W
Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?

Economy·Trump

Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?

$0 Vol.
$470 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

44%

Yes

U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

Politics·Trump-Zelenskyy

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$129k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months

15%

Yes

W
Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

World·Xi

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

$76k Vol.
$92k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months

16%

Dong Jun