Defense Predictions & Odds· 333 markets
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
$51k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$51k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
8%
Yes
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?
$284k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$284k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
$6k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$6k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 3 months
27%
Yes
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
$138k Vol.
$26k Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
$138k Vol.$26k Liq.19Ends in 3 months
66%
Yes
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
$351k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$351k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
2%
Yes
Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?
$556k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$556k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
16%
April 30
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
$134k Vol.
$19k Liq.
7
Ends in about 5 hours
$134k Vol.$19k Liq.7Ends in about 5 hours
74%
December 31
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$45k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$45k Vol.$10k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
17%
Yes
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$100k Vol.
$12k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$12k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
43%
Yes
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
$1.5m Vol.
$20k Liq.
78
Ends in 3 months
$1.5m Vol.$20k Liq.78Ends in 3 months
14%
June 30
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$129k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$14k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
$139k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$139k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
$102k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$102k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs Infinite (BO3) - United21 Group D
$0 Vol.
$347 Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$0 Vol.$347 Liq.Ends in 3 days
51%
AaB Esport
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Atputies vs Falcons Force (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B
$109 Vol.
$555 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$109 Vol.$555 Liq.Ends in 1 day
39%
Atputies
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Falcons Force (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B
$248 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 23 hours
$248 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in about 23 hours
74%
3DMAX
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs FOKUS REALITY (BO3) - United21 Group D
$0 Vol.
$5 Liq.
Ended
$0 Vol.$5 Liq.Ended