Diplomacy Ceasefire Predictions & Odds· 134 markets
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$63.2m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$2.8m today
1,264
$63.2m Vol.🔥$2.8m today$1.5m Liq.1,264
73%
December 31
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
$55k Vol.
$9k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
$55k Vol.$9k Liq.7Ends in 3 months
28%
Yes
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
$388k Vol.
$39k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$388k Vol.$39k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
38%
June 30
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$63k Vol.
$14k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$63k Vol.$14k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
45%
Yes
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
34%
Leadership Change
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
$1.1m Vol.
$57k Liq.
🔥$72k today
Ends in about 8 hours
$1.1m Vol.🔥$72k today$57k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
75%
June 30
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$366k Vol.
$146k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$366k Vol.$146k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
59%
Pakistan
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?
$200k Vol.
$40k Liq.
6
Ends in about 1 month
$200k Vol.$40k Liq.6Ends in about 1 month
10%
April 10
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
$7.8m Vol.
$321k Liq.
🔥$360k today
158
Ends in 3 months
$7.8m Vol.🔥$360k today$321k Liq.158Ends in 3 months
69%
June 30
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
$8.6m Vol.
$497k Liq.
🔥$273k today
329
Ends in about 8 hours
$8.6m Vol.🔥$273k today$497k Liq.329Ends in about 8 hours
79%
December 31
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
$2.2m Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$2.2m Vol.$50k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
1%
Yes
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
$1.5m Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$1.5m Vol.$51k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
0%
Yes
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
$126k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$126k Vol.$27k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
13%
Yes
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
$154k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$154k Vol.$48k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
13%
Yes
Will any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?
$125k Vol.
$14k Liq.
21
Ends in about 8 hours
$125k Vol.$14k Liq.21Ends in about 8 hours
0%
Yes
Will Vance visit the Middle East by..?
$98k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$98k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
19%
April 10
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
$42k Vol.
$45k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$42k Vol.$45k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
32%
December 31
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
$908k Vol.
$15k Liq.
24
Ends in 3 months
$908k Vol.$15k Liq.24Ends in 3 months
33%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30