Economic Policy Predictions & Odds· 310 markets

R
Reserve Bank of India decision in April

Reserve Bank of India decision in April

$9k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 6 days

98%

No Change

B
Bank of England decision in April?

Bank of England decision in April?

$286k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

89%

No change

B
Bank of Japan Decision in April?

Bank of Japan Decision in April?

$300k Vol.
$55k Liq.
Ends in 26 days

64%

25 bps increase

U
US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

$1.0m Vol.
$69k Liq.
63
Ends in 10 months

33%

Yes

E
ECB Interest Rates: April 2026

ECB Interest Rates: April 2026

$275k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

72%

No change

B
Bank of Korea decision in April?

Bank of Korea decision in April?

$36k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 8 days

99%

No Change

B
Bank of Brazil Decision in April?

Bank of Brazil Decision in April?

$193k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 26 days

84%

Decrease

B
Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

$6k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 2 months

75%

Decrease

B
Bank of Mexico Decision in May

Bank of Mexico Decision in May

$10k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

84%

No change

E
ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

$6k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 2 months

73%

25 bps Increase

B
Bank of Japan Decision in June?

Bank of Japan Decision in June?

$24k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 2 months

62%

No change

R
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in May?

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in May?

$22k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

60%

Increase

C
Central Bank of Colombia Decision in April?

Central Bank of Colombia Decision in April?

$19k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

65%

Increase

R
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in April?

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in April?

$28k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 5 days

99%

No Change

B
Bank of England decision in June?

Bank of England decision in June?

$12k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

50%

No change

B
Bank of Korea decision in May?

Bank of Korea decision in May?

$14k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

74%

No Change

B
Bank of Mexico Decision in June

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

$0 Vol.
$258 Liq.
Ends in 3 months

50%

No change

H
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

$10k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

44%

1

R
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?

$12k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 months

73%

Increase

R
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?

$1k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

81%

No Change