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Emergency Predictions & Odds· 132 markets

AllPoliticsCryptoScienceBusinessFinanceTrumpFedChinaInflationChile ElectionCrypto PricesFranceTechCourtsFed RatesGeopoliticsEconomyFOMCTrump PresidencyDrugParlaysFDAJerome PowellBudgetRecurringTariffsTrade WarEconomic PolicyWorldMacro IndicatorsUp Or DownHype15M4HGLPChinese PeptidesEli Lilly
T
Trump declares election interference national emergency?

Politics·Trump

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

$136k Vol.
$11k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months

27%

Yes

F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Finance·Business

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

$74k Vol.
$19k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

16%

Yes

H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Economy·Business

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$15.4m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$163k today
61
Ends in 9 months

31%

0 (0 bps)

F
Fed rate cut by...?

Economy·Fed

Fed rate cut by...?

$1.3m Vol.
$183k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months

64%

December Meeting

F
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Economy·Economic Policy

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$406k Vol.
$90k Liq.
35
Ends in 26 days

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

N
Nothing Ever Happens: March

World·Parlays

Nothing Ever Happens: March

$317k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ended

69%

Nothing

F
Fed rate hike by...?

Finance·fomc

Fed rate hike by...?

$3k Vol.
$198k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

27%

October Meeting

P
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

$107k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

75%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Economy·Jerome Powell

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

$1.3m Vol.
$223k Liq.
20
Ends in 9 months

68%

↓ 3.25%

F
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$717k Vol.
$108k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

84%

Pause–Pause–Pause

F
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

Tech·drug

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

$544k Vol.
$5k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months

27%

Yes

S
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?

World·Chile Election

State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?

$38k Vol.
$24k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months

11%

Yes

W
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Politics·Tariffs

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

$329k Vol.
$28k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months

48%

Yes

W
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

Politics·France

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

$3k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

47%

Yes

F
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$2k Vol.
$125k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

76%

Pause–Pause–Pause

M
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Economy

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months

24%

Yes

H
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours

50%

Up

H
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 1 day

49%

Up

H
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours

50%

Up

H
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

$0 Vol.
$435 Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours

50%

Up