Fed Predictions & Odds· 722 markets
Fed decision in April?
$39.0m Vol.
$3.3m Liq.
🔥$2.0m today
21
Ends in 29 days
$39.0m Vol.🔥$2.0m today$3.3m Liq.21Ends in 29 days
97%
No change
Fed Decision in July?
$2.7m Vol.
$260k Liq.
🔥$468k today
Ends in 4 months
$2.7m Vol.🔥$468k today$260k Liq.Ends in 4 months
78%
No change
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$14.7m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$277k today
58
Ends in 9 months
$14.7m Vol.🔥$277k today$1.2m Liq.58Ends in 9 months
34%
0 (0 bps)
Fed Decision in June?
$4.7m Vol.
$897k Liq.
🔥$216k today
13
Ends in 3 months
$4.7m Vol.🔥$216k today$897k Liq.13Ends in 3 months
88%
No change
Fed rate hike in 2026?
$701k Vol.
$44k Liq.
🔥$51k today
26
Ends in 8 months
$701k Vol.🔥$51k today$44k Liq.26Ends in 8 months
22%
Yes
83%
Pause–Pause–Pause
97%
Pause–Pause–Pause
76%
Pause–Pause–Pause
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
$10k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 29 days
$10k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 29 days
41%
2
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
53%
>5%
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$15.7m Vol.
$1.9m Liq.
🔥$260k today
69
Ends in 7 months
$15.7m Vol.🔥$260k today$1.9m Liq.69Ends in 7 months
95%
Kevin Warsh
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$5.9m Vol.
$336k Liq.
🔥$221k today
8
Ends in 8 months
$5.9m Vol.🔥$221k today$336k Liq.8Ends in 8 months
38%
3.75%
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.3m Vol.
$208k Liq.
🔥$178k today
17
Ends in 9 months
$1.3m Vol.🔥$178k today$208k Liq.17Ends in 9 months
64%
↓ 3.25%
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?
$435k Vol.
$28k Liq.
11
Ends in about 2 months
$435k Vol.$28k Liq.11Ends in about 2 months
53%
May 15
64%
December Meeting
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$74k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$74k Vol.$20k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
$1.8m Vol.
$166k Liq.
37
Ends in about 1 month
$1.8m Vol.$166k Liq.37Ends in about 1 month
2%
May 14
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$47k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$47k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
50%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$117k Vol.
$19k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$117k Vol.$19k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
70%
December 31
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
$65k Vol.
$32k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$65k Vol.$32k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
3%
Yes