Financials Predictions & Odds· 118 markets

Which banks will fail by June 30?
$357k Vol.
$92k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
$357k Vol.$92k Liq.7Ends in 3 months
3%
Scotiabank

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
$352k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$352k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
2%
Yes

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
$78k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$78k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 3 months
15%
Yes

US currency with Trump signature issued by April 30, 2026?
$1k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$1k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
8%
Yes

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
27%
Yes

Which cities will Waymo launch in by June 30?
$155k Vol.
$28k Liq.
12
Ends in 3 months
$155k Vol.$28k Liq.12Ends in 3 months
91%
Miami

How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?
$92k Vol.
$21k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$92k Vol.$21k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
42%
12+

Which companies will the US take a stake in?
$76k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$76k Vol.$20k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
49%
Palantir

Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?
$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
22
Ends in 9 months
$4k Vol.$9k Liq.22Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
$45k Vol.
$2k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$45k Vol.$2k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes

What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?
$1k Vol.
$885 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$1k Vol.$885 Liq.Ends in 1 day
46%
↓ 43200

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?
$74k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$74k Vol.$12k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
70%
↓ 0.0014

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$149 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$149 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up

What price will Solana hit in 2026?
$540k Vol.
$391k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$540k Vol.$391k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
74%
↓ 60

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$436k Liq.
257
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$436k Liq.257Ends in 3 months
44%
>$600M

1%
↑ 700

What price will Bitcoin hit in March?
$97.6m Vol.
$5.8m Liq.
🔥$3.6m today
2
Ends in 1 day
$97.6m Vol.🔥$3.6m today$5.8m Liq.2Ends in 1 day
2%
↓ 60,000

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$11k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$11k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
42%
April 30

45%
Yes

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?
$22k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$22k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 9 months
40%
Yes