Financials Predictions & Odds· 120 markets
Which banks will fail by June 30?
$355k Vol.
$94k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
$355k Vol.$94k Liq.7Ends in 3 months
3%
Scotiabank
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
$351k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$351k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
2%
Yes
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
$78k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$78k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 3 months
15%
Yes
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
25%
Yes
US currency with Trump signature issued by April 30, 2026?
$842 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$842 Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
5%
Yes
Which cities will Waymo launch in by June 30?
$155k Vol.
$31k Liq.
12
Ends in 3 months
$155k Vol.$31k Liq.12Ends in 3 months
91%
Miami
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?
$4k Vol.
$8k Liq.
18
Ends in 9 months
$4k Vol.$8k Liq.18Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes
How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?
$92k Vol.
$23k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$92k Vol.$23k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
47%
12+
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
$45k Vol.
$2k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$45k Vol.$2k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
Which companies will the US take a stake in?
$76k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$76k Vol.$20k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
49%
Palantir
What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?
$889 Vol.
$656 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$889 Vol.$656 Liq.Ends in 1 day
47%
↓ 42600
48%
↓ 19200
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
What price will Ethereum hit in March?
$24.5m Vol.
$2.6m Liq.
🔥$1.1m today
Ends in 1 day
$24.5m Vol.🔥$1.1m today$2.6m Liq.Ends in 1 day
1%
↓ 1,800
What will iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in April 2026?
$0 Vol.
$28 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$28 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
50%
↑ $144
Palantir (PLTR) closes week of Mar 30 at ___?
$1k Vol.
$89k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$1k Vol.$89k Liq.Ends in 4 days
40%
<$138
