Fired Predictions & Odds· 108 markets
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
$733k Vol.
$9k Liq.
146
Ends in about 8 hours
$733k Vol.$9k Liq.146Ends in about 8 hours
1%
Yes
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$82k Vol.
$21k Liq.
8
Ends in about 8 hours
$82k Vol.$21k Liq.8Ends in about 8 hours
1%
Yes
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$312k Vol.
$11k Liq.
27
Ends in about 8 hours
$312k Vol.$11k Liq.27Ends in about 8 hours
0%
Yes
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
$462k Vol.
$12k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
$462k Vol.$12k Liq.10Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?
$107k Vol.
$6k Liq.
54
Ends in 3 months
$107k Vol.$6k Liq.54Ends in 3 months
76%
Yes
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?
$199k Vol.
$8k Liq.
6
Ends in about 8 hours
$199k Vol.$8k Liq.6Ends in about 8 hours
0%
Yes
Becca Good charged by March 31?
$7k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in about 8 hours
$7k Vol.$3k Liq.3Ends in about 8 hours
2%
Yes
Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
$75k Vol.
$124k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
$75k Vol.$124k Liq.14Ends in 9 months
17%
Dong Jun
SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?
$20k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$20k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
70%
Yes
Will anyone charged over daycare fraud in MN be deported by March 31?
$35k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in about 8 hours
$35k Vol.$8k Liq.3Ends in about 8 hours
0%
Yes
Will Trump try to Fire Powell by March 31?
$48k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$48k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
0%
Yes
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$450k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$450k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$139 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$139 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
$3k Vol.
$16k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$16k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
69%
Not revealed in 2026
32%
4.4%
Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?
$3k Vol.
$508 Liq.
2
Ends in about 8 hours
$3k Vol.$508 Liq.2Ends in about 8 hours
2%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$16k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
$534k Vol.
$40k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$534k Vol.$40k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
43%
Dan Clancy - Twitch