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Fivethityeight Predictions & Odds· 100 markets

AllPoliticsCryptoSpaceXScienceWeatherHurricanesClimateBusinessFinanceTrumpAirdropsFdvMrBeastYouTubeBitcoinSam AltmanNasaAINatural DisastersOpenAICultureInternetCrypto PricesSpaceTechEarthquakeMentionsCommoditiesNatural DisasterBig TechBitcoin DominanceUp Or DownHit PriceFeaturedAstroidDailyMegaETHLighterPre MarketYearlyIndiciesS&P 500ClimaClimate & ScienceEarthquakes01.XyzLeavittDaily CloseNatural GasFinance Updown
5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Climate & Science·astroid

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

$276k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

43%

Yes

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Climate & Science·Weather

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

$116k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

13%

Yes

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?

Earthquakes · Science

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?

$46k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 5 days

52%

1

Will 01.xyz reach $5B in total volume by March 31, 2026?

Crypto·01.xyz

Will 01.xyz reach $5B in total volume by March 31, 2026?

$59k Vol.
$2k Liq.
11
Ends in 1 day

1%

Yes

GPT-5.5 released by...?

Tech·AI

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$298k Vol.
$15k Liq.
4

94%

June 30

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

Culture·Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

$1.8m Vol.
$85k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months

67%

8+

What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)

Mentions·Trump

What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)

$7k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 5 days

77%

Happy Easter

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (April 3)

Finance·Big Tech

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (April 3)

$0 Vol.
$349 Liq.
Ends in 3 days

63%

Sam / Altman

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 30?

Finance·Commodities

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 30?

$0 Vol.
$1 Liq.
Ended

50%

Up

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 27?

Finance·Commodities

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 27?

$5 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

51%

Up

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?

S&P 500 · Indicies

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?

$19k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

88%

↓ $6,300

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?

Politics·Trump

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?

$4 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

37%

25 - 30 minutes

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?

Finance·Commodities

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?

$9 Vol.
$2 Liq.
Ended

50%

Up

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

Crypto·Airdrops

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

$14.0m Vol.
$445k Liq.
257
Ends in 3 months

44%

>$600M

What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video?

Culture·YouTube

What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video?

$3k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 10 days

81%

Dollar 5+ times

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Climate & Science·Science

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

$38k Vol.
$19k Liq.
8
Ends in 12 months

12%

Yes

What will Trump say this week? (April 5)

Politics·Trump

What will Trump say this week? (April 5)

$4k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 5 days

85%

Epic Fury

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Tech·AI

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

$27k Vol.
$1k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months

29%

Yes

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

Crypto·Lighter

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

$596k Vol.
$35k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

15%

↑ $4

Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?

Crypto·Bitcoin Dominance

Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?

$24k Vol.
$9k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

21%

Yes