FOMC Predictions & Odds· 126 markets

Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

$37.8m Vol.
$3.2m Liq.
🔥$1.6m today
18
Ends in 30 days

97%

No change

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

$4.6m Vol.
$863k Liq.
🔥$237k today
11
Ends in 3 months

87%

No change

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

$2.3m Vol.
$272k Liq.
🔥$169k today
Ends in 4 months

78%

No change

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$713k Vol.
$111k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

83%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$390k Vol.
$102k Liq.
17
Ends in 30 days

97%

Pause–Pause–Pause

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

$10k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

44%

2

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$752 Vol.
$129k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

73%

Pause–Pause–Pause

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

$5.9m Vol.
$377k Liq.
🔥$500k today
5
Ends in 8 months

33%

3.75%

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

$1.3m Vol.
$304k Liq.
🔥$434k today
15
Ends in 9 months

60%

↓ 3.25%

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$14.6m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$286k today
54
Ends in 9 months

39%

0 (0 bps)

Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

$1.2m Vol.
$180k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months

63%

December Meeting

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

$70k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

19%

Yes

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

$26k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

78%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

What price will Bitcoin hit on March 30?

What price will Bitcoin hit on March 30?

$41k Vol.
$130k Liq.
Ends in about 20 hours

86%

↓ 67,000

What will the Bitcoin implied volatility index hit by April 30?

What will the Bitcoin implied volatility index hit by April 30?

$33k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

44%

↑ 80

What price will Bitcoin hit March 30-April 5?

What price will Bitcoin hit March 30-April 5?

$17k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 7 days

76%

↓ 66,000

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

$0 Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 3 hours

50%

Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

$0 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 2 hours

51%

Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

$0 Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 3 hours

50%

Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

$0 Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours

50%

Up