Foreign Affairs Predictions & Odds· 124 markets

A
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

$21k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

9%

Yes

U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

$582k Vol.
$11k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months

11%

Yes

W
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

$595 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

32%

Yes

U
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

$1.5m Vol.
$13k Liq.
78
Ends in 3 months

11%

Yes

W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$535k Vol.
$16k Liq.
🔥$131k today
158

12%

Yes

M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m Vol.
$12k Liq.
108
Ends in 3 months

51%

Yes

W
Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?

Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?

$1.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

W
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024?

Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024?

$1.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

S
Saudi and Israel peace deal by March 2024?

Saudi and Israel peace deal by March 2024?

$148k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

W
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022?

All

Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022?

$129k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before June 2022?

All

Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before June 2022?

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by...?

Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by...?

$94k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended

December 31

U
Ukraine hits Moscow by....?

Ukraine hits Moscow by....?

$497k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

September 30

U
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?

Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?

$81k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

U
Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?

Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?

$331k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

I
Israel ground offensive in Rafah when?

All · Gaza

Israel ground offensive in Rafah when?

$28k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Not by April 19

'
'The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare' over $8m opening weekend?

All

'The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare' over $8m opening weekend?

$62k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes