Fourth Predictions & Odds· 106 markets

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 4th Place
$2k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$2k Vol.$52k Liq.Ends in 12 days
32%
Fernando Olivera

72%
4.0–5.0%
Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31?
$22k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in about 7 hours
$22k Vol.$7k Liq.1Ends in about 7 hours
2%
Yes

35%
1.0-2.0%

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$2.4m Vol.
$135k Liq.
20
Ends in 9 months
$2.4m Vol.$135k Liq.20Ends in 9 months
46%
2

45%
Yes

95%
Mike Thompson

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$16k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30

VEO 4 released by...?
$41k Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ends in about 7 hours
$41k Vol.$15k Liq.1Ends in about 7 hours
2%
Yes

17%
Isfahan nuclear facility

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in April 2026?
$1k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$1k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
93%
↓ $248

Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$578 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$578 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 8 days
47%
60-79

49%
June 30

91%
Republican Party

Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$3k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 4 days
40%
60-79

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
$14k Vol.
$62k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
$14k Vol.$62k Liq.Ends in 19 days
69%
PP–DB

Zelenskyy # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$19k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 23 hours
$19k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 23 hours
91%
60-79

89%
Democratic Party

64%
Republican Party
