Gemini 3 Predictions & Odds· 162 markets
G
Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$64k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$64k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 3 months
94%
40%+
G
Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$264k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ended
$264k Vol.$6k Liq.Ended
93%
40%+
G
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
$30k Vol.
$8k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$8k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
19%
Yes
G
Gemini 3.5 released by...?
$824k Vol.
$39k Liq.
49
Ends in 3 months
$824k Vol.$39k Liq.49Ends in 3 months
31%
June 30
#
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?
$14k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$14k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
99%
ChatGPT
#
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?
$10k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$10k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
97%
Claude by Anthropic
B
Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
$19k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
$19k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 13 days
85%
April 15
G
Gulf State military action against Iran by...?
$71k Vol.
$59k Liq.
2
Ends in 28 days
$71k Vol.$59k Liq.2Ends in 28 days
18%
April 30
H
Highest grossing movie this weekend (April 3)
$27k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$27k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
100%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
I
Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?
$12k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$12k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 28 days
97%
April 1
I
100%
March 28
A
Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$56k Vol.
$2k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$56k Vol.$2k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
74%
Yes
W
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?
$34k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$34k Vol.$4k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
7%
Dune 3
W
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
$1.4m Vol.
$174k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1.4m Vol.$174k Liq.Ends in 9 months
82%
Avengers: Doomsday
2
Science · Weather
2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
$3k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$3k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
43%
3rd hottest
I
Iran military action against Israel on...?
$67k Vol.
$76k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$67k Vol.$76k Liq.Ends in 28 days
97%
April 2
W
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
$96k Vol.
$8k Liq.
28
Ends in 9 months
$96k Vol.$8k Liq.28Ends in 9 months
50%
Yes
M
51%
Yes
G
December 31