General Tariff Predictions & Odds· 174 markets
U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?
$1.2m Vol.
$47k Liq.
28
Ends in about 6 hours
$1.2m Vol.$47k Liq.28Ends in about 6 hours
98%
5–15%
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
$39k Vol.
$22k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$39k Vol.$22k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
5%
Yes
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
$30k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$13k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?
$62k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in about 6 hours
$62k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in about 6 hours
98%
Yes
Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?
$26k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in about 6 hours
$26k Vol.$13k Liq.1Ends in about 6 hours
0%
Yes
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
$328k Vol.
$21k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
$328k Vol.$21k Liq.36Ends in 3 months
50%
Yes
New 10% US blanket tariff goes into effect by February 28?
$200k Vol.
$0 Liq.
26
Ended
$200k Vol.$0 Liq.26Ended
Yes
Will Trump announce a general Tariff on imports on April 2?
$79k Vol.
$0 Liq.
15
Ended
$79k Vol.$0 Liq.15Ended
Yes
Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31?
$283k Vol.
$0 Liq.
61
Ended
$283k Vol.$0 Liq.61Ended
No
No
<25%
No