Gianforte Predictions & Odds· 100 markets

W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

92%

Yes

W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$42k Vol.
$12k Liq.
13
Ends in 28 days

25%

April 30

W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

$0 Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months

85%

Yes

M
Montana Senate Election Winner

Montana Senate Election Winner

$39k Vol.
$19k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months

87%

Republican

M
MT-02 House Election Winner

MT-02 House Election Winner

$2k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

92%

Republican Party

M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m Vol.
$12k Liq.
108
Ends in 3 months

51%

Yes

T
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)

40%

59-60%

S
San Luis Potosi: Facundo Mena vs Tristan Schoolkate

Tennis · Sports

San Luis Potosi: Facundo Mena vs Tristan Schoolkate

$0 Vol.
$427 Liq.
Ends in 8 days

52%

Facundo Mena

M
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

$14.5m Vol.
$428k Liq.
🔥$163k today
258
Ends in 3 months

57%

>$600M

S
Sao Leopoldo: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Conner Huertas Del Pino

Tennis · Sports

Sao Leopoldo: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Conner Huertas Del Pino

$140 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 7 days

84%

Alvaro Guillen Meza

M
MT-01 House Election Winner

MT-01 House Election Winner

$0 Vol.
$305 Liq.
Ends in 7 months

67%

Democratic Party

T
Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?

Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?

$955 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

90%

Yes

I
IN-08 House Election Winner

IN-08 House Election Winner

$17k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

91%

Republican Party

"
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

$6k Vol.
$16k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

69%

Not revealed in 2026

M
MA-09 House Election Winner

MA-09 House Election Winner

$0 Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

91%

Democratic Party

B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

$207k Vol.
$71k Liq.
7
Ends in 6 months

41%

Lula da Silva <5%

M
MD-02 House Election Winner

MD-02 House Election Winner

$458 Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

93%

Democratic Party

T
Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?

Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?

$695 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

18%

Yes

I
IN-09 House Election Winner

IN-09 House Election Winner

$0 Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

90%

Republican Party

M
MA-08 House Election Winner

MA-08 House Election Winner

$3k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

93%

Democratic Party