Gov Shutdown Predictions & Odds· 607 markets
W
When will the DHS shutdown end?
$716k Vol.
$91k Liq.
🔥$134k today
Ends in 27 days
$716k Vol.🔥$134k today$91k Liq.Ends in 27 days
38%
April 5-8
H
How long will the DHS shutdown last?
$1.3m Vol.
$33k Liq.
🔥$63k today
Ended
$1.3m Vol.🔥$63k today$33k Liq.Ended
75%
52+ days
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$254k Vol.
$25k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months
$254k Vol.$25k Liq.11Ends in 7 months
84%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
W
1%
Yes
N
Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?
$5k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
$5k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 2 days
66%
17-17.5m
N
100%
>5,000
O
100%
Yes
N
0%
Yes
W
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
$559k Vol.
$1k Liq.
27
Ended
$559k Vol.$1k Liq.27Ended
31%
Yes
O
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$102k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$102k Vol.$9k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
T
Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?
$719 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$719 Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 27 days
19%
Yes
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$539k Vol.
$16k Liq.
🔥$121k today
173
$539k Vol.🔥$121k today$16k Liq.173
16%
Yes
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?
$7k Vol.
$851 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$851 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
61%
December 31, 2026
H
Weather · Recurring
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 6?
$642 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$642 Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 4 days
28%
27°C
W
White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$10k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$10k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in 8 days
36%
160-179
W
White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$33k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$33k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 5 days
48%
200+
W
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$123k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$123k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 1 day
86%
200+
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$103k Vol.
$55k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$103k Vol.$55k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
54%
US x Iran Ceasefire
F
76%
Pause–Pause–Pause
T
Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?
$971 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$971 Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 27 days
90%
Yes