Gov Shutdown Predictions & Odds· 607 markets

W
When will the DHS shutdown end?

When will the DHS shutdown end?

$716k Vol.
$91k Liq.
🔥$134k today
Ends in 27 days

38%

April 5-8

H
How long will the DHS shutdown last?

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

$1.3m Vol.
$33k Liq.
🔥$63k today
Ended

75%

52+ days

A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

$254k Vol.
$25k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months

84%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

W
Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

$41k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 11 days

1%

Yes

N
Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?

Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?

$5k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 days

66%

17-17.5m

N
Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?

Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?

$3k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ended

100%

>5,000

O
Over 250 US flights cancelled on April 1?

Over 250 US flights cancelled on April 1?

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ended

100%

Yes

N
Number of US Flights Delayed March 29?

Number of US Flights Delayed March 29?

$22k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ended

0%

Yes

W
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

$559k Vol.
$1k Liq.
27
Ended

31%

Yes

O
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

$102k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months

6%

Yes

T
Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?

Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?

$719 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

19%

Yes

W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$539k Vol.
$16k Liq.
🔥$121k today
173

16%

Yes

T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

$7k Vol.
$851 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

61%

December 31, 2026

H
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 6?

Weather · Recurring

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 6?

$642 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 4 days

28%

27°C

W
White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

$10k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 8 days

36%

160-179

W
White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

$33k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 5 days

48%

200+

W
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$123k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 1 day

86%

200+

W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

$103k Vol.
$55k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months

54%

US x Iran Ceasefire

F
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$2k Vol.
$125k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

76%

Pause–Pause–Pause

T
Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?

Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?

$971 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

90%

Yes