Gov Shutdwon Predictions & Odds· 103 markets
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$210k Vol.
$27k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months
$210k Vol.$27k Liq.11Ends in 7 months
83%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$52k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$52k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 4 days
39%
160-179
How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?
$1k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in about 7 hours
$1k Vol.$6k Liq.1Ends in about 7 hours
42%
<15 minutes
White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$151k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 23 hours
$151k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 23 hours
70%
160-179
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
$3k Vol.
$17k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$17k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
69%
Not revealed in 2026
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?
$4k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$459k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$459k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?
$30k Vol.
$14k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$14k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
19%
Yes
Tim Walz charged by...?
$496k Vol.
$71k Liq.
47
Ends in about 7 hours
$496k Vol.$71k Liq.47Ends in about 7 hours
9%
Before 2027
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?
$7k Vol.
$965 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$965 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
71%
December 31, 2026
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$82k Vol.
$21k Liq.
8
Ends in about 7 hours
$82k Vol.$21k Liq.8Ends in about 7 hours
1%
Yes
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$312k Vol.
$11k Liq.
27
Ends in about 7 hours
$312k Vol.$11k Liq.27Ends in about 7 hours
0%
Yes
How long will the Government Shutdown last?
$23.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$23.5m Vol.$0 Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
2+ days