Gpt 5 Predictions & Odds· 166 markets

82%
December 31, 2026

Which company has best AI model end of June?
$2.9m Vol.
$430k Liq.
64
Ends in 3 months
$2.9m Vol.$430k Liq.64Ends in 3 months
65%
Anthropic

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
$241k Vol.
$8k Liq.
32
Ended
$241k Vol.$8k Liq.32Ended
44%
December 31, 2026

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
$475k Vol.
$179k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
$475k Vol.$179k Liq.22Ends in 3 months
49%
Anthropic

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$3k Vol.$1k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
37%
Yes

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$18k Vol.
$958 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$18k Vol.$958 Liq.4Ends in 3 months
56%
60%+

21%
June 30, 2026

8%
Yes

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$13k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
2%
Yes

41%
Yes

Claude 5 released by…?
$2.9m Vol.
$81k Liq.
162
Ends in about 1 month
$2.9m Vol.$81k Liq.162Ends in about 1 month
71%
June 30, 2026

December 31

August 7


