Gpt 5 Predictions & Odds· 166 markets

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

$358k Vol.
$43k Liq.
40
Ended

82%

December 31, 2026

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

$2.9m Vol.
$430k Liq.
64
Ends in 3 months

65%

Anthropic

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

$241k Vol.
$8k Liq.
32
Ended

44%

December 31, 2026

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

$475k Vol.
$179k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months

49%

Anthropic

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

55%

Yes

GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$296k Vol.
$24k Liq.
4

93%

June 30

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

37%

Yes

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$18k Vol.
$958 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months

56%

60%+

Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

$288k Vol.
$19k Liq.
29
Ends in 3 months

21%

June 30, 2026

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$354 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 10 days

8%

Yes

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours

2%

Yes

ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$25k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ended

21%

Yes

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

$276k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

41%

Yes

Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

$2.9m Vol.
$81k Liq.
162
Ends in about 1 month

71%

June 30, 2026

GPT-5.3 released by...?

GPT-5.3 released by...?

$278k Vol.
$0 Liq.
24
Ended

February 28

GPT-5 scores ≥ 70% on FrontierMath Benchmark by...?

GPT-5 scores ≥ 70% on FrontierMath Benchmark by...?

$35k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended

December 31

GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

$76k Vol.
$0 Liq.
30
Ended

No

What day will GPT-5 be released…?

What day will GPT-5 be released…?

$2.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
330
Ended

August 7

GPT-5 released by…?

GPT-5 released by…?

$7.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,022
Ended

December 31

Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

$169k Vol.
$0 Liq.
36
Ended

Yes