Hormoz Predictions & Odds· 125 markets
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.6m Vol.
$64k Liq.
🔥$323k today
Ends in about 13 hours
$1.6m Vol.🔥$323k today$64k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
97%
0-10
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
$324k Vol.
$59k Liq.
🔥$226k today
Ends in 4 days
$324k Vol.🔥$226k today$59k Liq.Ends in 4 days
80%
0-10
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
$425k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ended
$425k Vol.$48k Liq.Ended
54%
20-24
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$603k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$603k Vol.$43k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
4%
20+
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$24k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ended
$24k Vol.$14k Liq.Ended
47%
30-34
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$11k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$11k Vol.$53k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
38%
0-10
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$6k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$6k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
67%
20+
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.2m Vol.
$113k Liq.
🔥$175k today
121
Ends in about 13 hours
$2.2m Vol.🔥$175k today$113k Liq.121Ends in about 13 hours
30%
April 30
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$631k Vol.
$129k Liq.
🔥$397k today
15
Ends in about 1 month
$631k Vol.🔥$397k today$129k Liq.15Ends in about 1 month
43%
United States
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.5m Vol.
$116k Liq.
🔥$57k today
102
Ends in about 1 month
$1.5m Vol.🔥$57k today$116k Liq.102Ends in about 1 month
20%
Yes
Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$25k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$25k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 1 day
97%
<20
Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$19k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$19k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 4 days
92%
<20
Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$2k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 8 days
36%
<5
How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?
$64k Vol.
$41k Liq.
2
Ends in about 13 hours
$64k Vol.$41k Liq.2Ends in about 13 hours
98%
<5
How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?
$15k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$15k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
57%
<2
Who will enter Iran by June 30?
$204k Vol.
$210k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$204k Vol.$210k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
9%
Pete Hegseth
What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?
$89k Vol.
$118k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$89k Vol.$118k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
38%
Al Zour Refinery
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
$405k Vol.
$42k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months
$405k Vol.$42k Liq.50Ends in 3 months
81%
Yes
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$98k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$98k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
3%
March 30
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$386 Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$386 Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
17%
April 5