Initial Jobless Claims Predictions & Odds· 199 markets
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
$1.2m Vol.
$82k Liq.
18
Ends in over 1 year
$1.2m Vol.$82k Liq.18Ends in over 1 year
41%
Goldman Sachs
In which month will SpaceX IPO?
$146k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$146k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 9 months
57%
June
SpaceX IPO by ___ ?
$685k Vol.
$376k Liq.
🔥$107k today
21
Ends in 9 months
$685k Vol.🔥$107k today$376k Liq.21Ends in 9 months
92%
December 31
IPOs before 2027?
$5.2m Vol.
$145k Liq.
🔥$61k today
3
Ends in 9 months
$5.2m Vol.🔥$61k today$145k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
93%
SpaceX
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
$4.0m Vol.
$166k Liq.
🔥$60k today
171
Ends in over 1 year
$4.0m Vol.🔥$60k today$166k Liq.171Ends in over 1 year
63%
Other
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?
$206k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 17 days
$206k Vol.$36k Liq.Ends in 17 days
68%
4.5-5.0%
26%
70-80B
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
$116k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$116k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$1.6m Vol.
$263k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$1.6m Vol.$263k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
90%
SpaceX
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
$311k Vol.
$8k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$311k Vol.$8k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
34%
Yes
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
$11k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$11k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 2 months
3%
Yes
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
$93k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$93k Vol.$29k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?
$54k Vol.
$58k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$54k Vol.$58k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
42%
15s+
25%
Yes
72%
4.0–5.0%
Sports · NBA
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?
$29k Vol.
$315 Liq.
3
Ends in 12 days
$29k Vol.$315 Liq.3Ends in 12 days
10%
Yes
20%
June 30