Intel Predictions & Odds· 137 markets
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
$2.0m Vol.
$139k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$2.0m Vol.$139k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto
$5k Vol.
$12k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$12k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
92%
Nothing
Crypto · World
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...?
$81k Vol.
$404 Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$81k Vol.$404 Liq.31Ends in 9 months
44%
Yes
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$45k Vol.
$7k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$45k Vol.$7k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
US forces enter Iran by..?
$57.0m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
🔥$5.7m today
5,441
$57.0m Vol.🔥$5.7m today$1.0m Liq.5,441
73%
December 31
How many times will the US strike Somalia in March?
$776k Vol.
$52k Liq.
🔥$76k today
1
Ends in 4 days
$776k Vol.🔥$76k today$52k Liq.1Ends in 4 days
97%
6-9
38%
December 31
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
$144k Vol.
$17k Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
$144k Vol.$17k Liq.19Ends in 3 months
62%
Yes
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
$241k Vol.
$34k Liq.
3
Ends in 30 days
$241k Vol.$34k Liq.3Ends in 30 days
23%
April 30
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$37k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$1.4m Vol.$37k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
28%
June 30
2%
Yes
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.5m Vol.
$178k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$2.5m Vol.$178k Liq.Ends in 9 months
59%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?
$11k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$11k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 15 days
40%
Yes
23%
December 31
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?
$26k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in 30 days
$26k Vol.$8k Liq.3Ends in 30 days
13%
Yes
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$45k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in 30 days
$45k Vol.$10k Liq.3Ends in 30 days
17%
Yes
US strike on Mexico by...?
$3.2m Vol.
$52k Liq.
162
Ends in 9 months
$3.2m Vol.$52k Liq.162Ends in 9 months
24%
December 31
22%
December 31
US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?
$234k Vol.
$15k Liq.
10
Ends in 30 days
$234k Vol.$15k Liq.10Ends in 30 days
8%
April 30