Intel Predictions & Odds· 530 markets

W
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

$2.1m Vol.
$120k Liq.
🔥$58k today
30
Ends in 9 months

9%

Yes

N
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

$6k Vol.
$12k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months

92%

Nothing

W
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...?

Crypto · World

Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...?

$81k Vol.
$672 Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months

36%

Yes

O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

$45k Vol.
$8k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months

20%

Yes

U
US forces enter Iran by..?

US forces enter Iran by..?

$79.1m Vol.
$5.2m Liq.
🔥$16.7m today
6,283

66%

December 31

U
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?

$1.4m Vol.
$20k Liq.
🔥$62k today
Ends in 3 months

19%

Yes

I
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

$276k Vol.
$41k Liq.
3
Ends in about 2 months

17%

May 31

U
US strike on Cuba by...?

US strike on Cuba by...?

$3.0m Vol.
$70k Liq.
51
Ends in 9 months

35%

December 31

U
US strike on Mexico by...?

US strike on Mexico by...?

$3.2m Vol.
$62k Liq.
162
Ends in 9 months

23%

December 31

U
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?

$24k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 13 days

25%

Yes

U
US strike on Colombia by...?

US strike on Colombia by...?

$1.5m Vol.
$32k Liq.
43
Ended

20%

December 31

I
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

$155k Vol.
$13k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months

53%

Yes

U
US announces military support of Kurds by...?

US announces military support of Kurds by...?

$492k Vol.
$16k Liq.
41
Ends in 28 days

8%

Yes

T
Tulsi Gabbard out by...?

Tulsi Gabbard out by...?

$113k Vol.
$21k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months

26%

June 30

U
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

$56k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

50%

June 30

W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

$2.6m Vol.
$148k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

50%

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

H
How many times will the US take military action against Somalia in March?

How many times will the US take military action against Somalia in March?

$791k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 2 days

99%

6-9

U
US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

$236k Vol.
$27k Liq.
11
Ends in 28 days

8%

Yes

U
US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

$1.3m Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

14%

June 30

A
Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

$2.5m Vol.
$19k Liq.
59
Ended

23%

December 31