Intel Predictions & Odds· 532 markets
W
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
$2.2m Vol.
$100k Liq.
🔥$123k today
30
Ends in 9 months
$2.2m Vol.🔥$123k today$100k Liq.30Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
N
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto
$6k Vol.
$12k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$6k Vol.$12k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
92%
Nothing
W
Crypto · World
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...?
$81k Vol.
$706 Liq.
32
Ends in 9 months
$81k Vol.$706 Liq.32Ends in 9 months
38%
Yes
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$45k Vol.
$6k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$45k Vol.$6k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
U
US forces enter Iran by..?
$99.6m Vol.
$19.7m Liq.
🔥$26.1m today
6,572
$99.6m Vol.🔥$26.1m today$19.7m Liq.6,572
72%
December 31
U
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.4m Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 3 months
19%
Yes
I
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
$289k Vol.
$51k Liq.
3
Ends in about 2 months
$289k Vol.$51k Liq.3Ends in about 2 months
18%
May 31
U
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
$77k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$77k Vol.$28k Liq.Ends in 28 days
38%
June 30
U
32%
December 31
U
US strike on Mexico by...?
$3.3m Vol.
$46k Liq.
164
Ends in 9 months
$3.3m Vol.$46k Liq.164Ends in 9 months
21%
December 31
A
23%
December 31
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.6m Vol.
$160k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$2.6m Vol.$160k Liq.Ends in 9 months
45%
Pam Bondi
U
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?
$29k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
$29k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 13 days
19%
Yes
I
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
$158k Vol.
$9k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
$158k Vol.$9k Liq.21Ends in 3 months
33%
Yes
U
20%
December 31
T
30%
June 30
H
How many times will the US take military action against Somalia in March?
$793k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$793k Vol.$39k Liq.Ends in 1 day
99%
6-9
U
US announces military support of Kurds by...?
$494k Vol.
$27k Liq.
41
Ends in 28 days
$494k Vol.$27k Liq.41Ends in 28 days
7%
Yes
U
US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?
$237k Vol.
$12k Liq.
10
Ends in 28 days
$237k Vol.$12k Liq.10Ends in 28 days
8%
Yes
W
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$46k Vol.
$14k Liq.
3
Ends in 28 days
$46k Vol.$14k Liq.3Ends in 28 days
16%
Yes