Interest Rates Predictions & Odds· 146 markets

Bank of Japan Decision in April?

Bank of Japan Decision in April?

$232k Vol.
$66k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

70%

25 bps increase

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

$2k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 months

76%

25 bps Increase

Bank of Japan Decision in June?

Bank of Japan Decision in June?

$23k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

61%

No change

People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?

People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?

$117k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours

0%

Yes

Reserve Bank of India decision in April

Reserve Bank of India decision in April

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days

89%

No Change

ECB Interest Rates: April 2026

ECB Interest Rates: April 2026

$214k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

61%

No change

Will Trump cap credit card interest rates by...?

Will Trump cap credit card interest rates by...?

$19k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in about 11 hours

1%

Yes

Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

$38.5m Vol.
$3.4m Liq.
🔥$1.9m today
18
Ends in 29 days

97%

No change

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

$2.5m Vol.
$253k Liq.
🔥$301k today
Ends in 4 months

78%

No change

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

$4.6m Vol.
$906k Liq.
🔥$193k today
11
Ends in 3 months

87%

No change

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

$1.3m Vol.
$251k Liq.
🔥$281k today
18
Ends in 9 months

64%

↓ 3.25%

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$713k Vol.
$104k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

83%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$390k Vol.
$100k Liq.
17
Ends in 29 days

97%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

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Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

$40k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

78%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$956 Vol.
$130k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

73%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Bank of England decision in April?

Bank of England decision in April?

$200k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

79%

No change

Bank of England decision in June?

Bank of England decision in June?

$12k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

56%

25 bps increase

ECB rate hike in 2026?

ECB rate hike in 2026?

$82k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

86%

Yes

ECB rate cut in 2026?

ECB rate cut in 2026?

$21k Vol.
$4k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

18%

Yes

Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

$43k Vol.
$876 Liq.
Ends in 9 months

79%

↑ 6.50%