Liberation Day Tariffs Predictions & Odds· 101 markets
W
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
$329k Vol.
$19k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
$329k Vol.$19k Liq.36Ends in 3 months
47%
Yes
T
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
$30k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$12k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
1
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
$40k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$40k Vol.$14k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
5%
Yes
W
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?
$9k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$9k Vol.$16k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
10%
Yes
Z
Zelenskyy # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$445 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$445 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 8 days
38%
60-79
Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$911 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$911 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 5 days
38%
140-159
#
# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?
$21k Vol.
$47k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$21k Vol.$47k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
41%
3
U
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
$92k Vol.
$26k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
$92k Vol.$26k Liq.15Ends in 3 months
37%
June 30
#
# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?
$21k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$21k Vol.$29k Liq.Ends in 2 months
55%
10+
W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$23k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$23k Vol.$39k Liq.Ends in 28 days
49%
20+
W
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$118k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$118k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 1 day
84%
200+
W
White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$10k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$10k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in 8 days
37%
160-179
K
Khamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$604 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$604 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 8 days
37%
<5
W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$650k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ended
$650k Vol.$53k Liq.Ended
3%
20+
W
White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$32k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$32k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 5 days
47%
200+
C
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Unsettled Resentment vs TYLOO (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffs
$50k Vol.
$57k Liq.
🔥$50k today
Ends in about 5 hours
$50k Vol.🔥$50k today$57k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
6%
Unsettled Resentment
K
Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$10k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$10k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 5 days
32%
10-14
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$75k Vol.
$22k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$75k Vol.$22k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
52%
Yes
W
Sports · Games
WTT - Women's Singles: Ying Han vs Yu-Bin Shin
$0 Vol.
$3 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
$0 Vol.$3 Liq.Ends in 7 days
53%
Han
W
Sports · Games
WTT - Men's Singles: Koen Pang vs Patrick Franziska
$154 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$154 Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Franziska