Llm Predictions & Odds· 183 markets
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$45k Vol.
$6k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$45k Vol.$6k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
$15.9m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$245k today
Ends in about 8 hours
$15.9m Vol.🔥$245k today$1.5m Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
100%
Anthropic
Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$801k Vol.
$93k Liq.
🔥$158k today
Ends in about 1 month
$801k Vol.🔥$158k today$93k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
85%
Anthropic
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
$1.4m Vol.
$55k Liq.
24
Ends in 3 months
$1.4m Vol.$55k Liq.24Ends in 3 months
28%
OpenAI
Which company has best AI model end of June?
$2.9m Vol.
$352k Liq.
63
Ends in 3 months
$2.9m Vol.$352k Liq.63Ends in 3 months
65%
Anthropic
Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$1.0m Vol.
$114k Liq.
1
Ends in about 8 hours
$1.0m Vol.$114k Liq.1Ends in about 8 hours
99%
Anthropic
Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$544k Vol.
$76k Liq.
2
Ends in about 8 hours
$544k Vol.$76k Liq.2Ends in about 8 hours
98%
Anthropic
Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$397k Vol.
$67k Liq.
2
Ends in about 8 hours
$397k Vol.$67k Liq.2Ends in about 8 hours
97%
Which company has the best AI model end of April?
$2.7m Vol.
$390k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$2.7m Vol.$390k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
91%
Anthropic
Which company has the second best AI model end of March?
$622k Vol.
$106k Liq.
1
Ends in about 8 hours
$622k Vol.$106k Liq.1Ends in about 8 hours
99%
Anthropic
Which company has the third best AI model end of March?
$526k Vol.
$92k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$526k Vol.$92k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
99%
Which company has the third best AI model end of April?
$88k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$88k Vol.$50k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
67%
Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$13k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$13k Vol.$36k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Anthropic
Which company has second best AI model end of June?
$333k Vol.
$93k Liq.
52
Ends in 3 months
$333k Vol.$93k Liq.52Ends in 3 months
49%
Anthropic
Which company has the second best AI model end of April?
$13k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$13k Vol.$49k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
80%
Anthropic
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
$70k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$70k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?
$66k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$66k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 9 months
61%
↑ 1550
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
$475k Vol.
$154k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
$475k Vol.$154k Liq.22Ends in 3 months
49%
Anthropic
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
$24k Vol.
$21k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$21k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
46%
None in 2026
Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$7k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
40%