Merge Predictions & Odds· 130 markets

P
Pershing Square acquires Universal Music Group by June 30?

merge · merger

Pershing Square acquires Universal Music Group by June 30?

44%

Yes

$4 Vol.
$373 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

1%

Yes

$3.1m Vol.
$46k Liq.
81
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?

36%

Yes

$46 Vol.
$67 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
United x American Airlines merger/acquisition announced in 2026?

14%

Yes

$946 Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
T
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

4%

Yes

$155k Vol.
$25k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
T
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

6%

Yes

$68k Vol.
$28k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
I
IPOs before 2027?

IPOs before 2027?

94%

SpaceX

$5.8m Vol.
$241k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Which banks will fail by June 30?

Which banks will fail by June 30?

11%

Truist

$418k Vol.
$124k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
K
Kraken IPO by ___ ?

Kraken IPO by ___ ?

71%

December 31, 2026

$1.5m Vol.
$4k Liq.
43
Ended
W
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

70%

Caesars Entertainment

$17.4m Vol.
$159k Liq.
18
Ends in 9 months
L
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

90%

SpaceX

$1.7m Vol.
$282k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
A
Anthropic acquired before 2027?

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

6%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?

Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?

9%

Yes

$24k Vol.
$60k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
W
Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?

Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?

36%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
S
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

98%

SpaceX

$7k Vol.
$4k Liq.
5
Ends in over 1 year
O
OKX IPO in 2026?

OKX IPO in 2026?

14%

Yes

$548k Vol.
$41k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
O
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

28%

Yes

$263k Vol.
$9k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
W
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

39%

US Bank

$18k Vol.
$67k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

3%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

20%

Yes

$47k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months