Mgiuelpf Predictions & Odds· 100 markets
W
What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)
$19k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
$19k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 2 days
100%
Trump derangement / Trump deranged
M
51%
Yes
M
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
$38k Vol.
$19k Liq.
9
Ends in 12 months
$38k Vol.$19k Liq.9Ends in 12 months
11%
Yes
E
Evo Morales arrested by May 31
$1k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$1k Vol.$11k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
19%
Yes
N
NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets
$29k Vol.
$2k Liq.
4
Ends in 4 days
$29k Vol.$2k Liq.4Ends in 4 days
41%
51–60
W
White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$10k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$10k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in 8 days
36%
160-179
T
Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?
$719 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$719 Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 27 days
19%
Yes
M
64%
Democratic Party
Z
Zelenskyy # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$445 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$445 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 8 days
38%
60-79
W
White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$33k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$33k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 5 days
48%
200+
W
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$124k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$124k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 1 day
86%
200+
W
79%
Yes
T
Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?
$971 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$971 Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 27 days
90%
Yes
Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$911 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$911 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 5 days
37%
140-159
H
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$677k Vol.
$17k Liq.
9
Ends in 12 months
$677k Vol.$17k Liq.9Ends in 12 months
45%
1
Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$15k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$15k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 1 day
70%
80-99
M
90%
Republican Party
M
91%
Democratic Party
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$2k Vol.$10k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
92%
Yes
I
Insurrection Act invoked by...?
$1.0m Vol.
$53k Liq.
71
Ends in 9 months
$1.0m Vol.$53k Liq.71Ends in 9 months
28%
December 31