Model Predictions & Odds· 410 markets

W
Who will lead on Silver Bulletin on Friday?

Who will lead on Silver Bulletin on Friday?

$78k Vol.
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1
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Trump

W
Who will lead on 538 on Friday?

Who will lead on 538 on Friday?

$92k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
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Trump

H
How many states will Nate Silver call correctly?

How many states will Nate Silver call correctly?

$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
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48

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How many states will 538 call correctly?

How many states will 538 call correctly?

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
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46

D
Donald Trump 538 odds >55% on Friday?

Donald Trump 538 odds >55% on Friday?

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
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No

K
Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?

Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?

$130k Vol.
$0 Liq.
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No

K
Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?

Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?

$107k Vol.
$0 Liq.
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No

W
Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

Google

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Which company has the third best AI model end of February?

Which company has the third best AI model end of February?

$233k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Google

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Which company has the #1 AI model end of February? (Style Control On)

Anthropic

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Which company has the #2 AI model end of February? (Style Control On)

Anthropic

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Which company has the second best AI model end of February?

Anthropic

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Which company has the best AI model end of February?

Which company has the best AI model end of February?

$22.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
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Anthropic

W
Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

OpenAI

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Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31?

Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31?

$499k Vol.
$0 Liq.
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OpenAI

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What day will OpenAI next release a new frontier model?

What day will OpenAI next release a new frontier model?

$10.1m Vol.
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Ended

December 11

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Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

$2.3m Vol.
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December 13

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Which company has the third best AI model end of March?

Which company has the third best AI model end of March?

$543k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Google

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Which company has the third best AI model end of January?

Which company has the third best AI model end of January?

$682k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Google