Nasa Predictions & Odds· 226 markets
42%
Yes
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
$139k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$139k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
30%
Yes
NASA Artemis II
$699k Vol.
$26k Liq.
94
Ends in about 11 hours
$699k Vol.$26k Liq.94Ends in about 11 hours
83%
April 30
March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
$208k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$208k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 10 days
46%
1.25–1.29ºC
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$2.4m Vol.
$126k Liq.
19
Ends in 9 months
$2.4m Vol.$126k Liq.19Ends in 9 months
46%
2
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
$109k Vol.
$5k Liq.
5
Ends in 10 months
$109k Vol.$5k Liq.5Ends in 10 months
73%
Yes
2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
$271k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$271k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 10 days
98%
4th or lower
Weather · Science
April 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
$18k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$18k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
30%
1.20–1.24ºC
Science · Weather
2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$2k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
40%
3rd hottest
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
$102k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$102k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
46%
Yes
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$22.0m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$440k today
820
Ends in 9 months
$22.0m Vol.🔥$440k today$1.2m Liq.820Ends in 9 months
17%
December 31
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$18k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$18k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
Weather · Science
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher)
$668k Vol.
$0 Liq.
22
Ended
$668k Vol.$0 Liq.22Ended
Yes
Will NASA estimate a 4% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?
$85k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
$85k Vol.$0 Liq.2Ended
No
climate & weather · climate
Will 2024 have the hottest April on record?
$66k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended
$66k Vol.$0 Liq.7Ended
Yes
