North Atlantic Treaty Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
N
9%
Yes
W
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
$529k Vol.
$263k Liq.
🔥$366k today
10
Ends in 9 months
$529k Vol.🔥$366k today$263k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
9%
December 31
W
Will any country leave NATO by...?
$607k Vol.
$131k Liq.
🔥$158k today
22
Ends in 9 months
$607k Vol.🔥$158k today$131k Liq.22Ends in 9 months
14%
December 31, 2026
N
12%
Yes
W
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
$11k Vol.
$21k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$11k Vol.$21k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
$582k Vol.
$17k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
$582k Vol.$17k Liq.37Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$102k Vol.
$22k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$102k Vol.$22k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
N
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$112k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$1.4m Vol.$112k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
14%
December 31
W
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
$5k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
W
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
$91k Vol.
$15k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$91k Vol.$15k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$132k Vol.
$32k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$132k Vol.$32k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
U
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
$78k Vol.
$27k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$78k Vol.$27k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
E
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?
$87k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$87k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
December 31
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
$385k Vol.
$69k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$385k Vol.$69k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
U
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
$19k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$19k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes
U
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
$2.3m Vol.
$38k Liq.
122
Ends in 9 months
$2.3m Vol.$38k Liq.122Ends in 9 months
11%
December 31, 2026
N
41%
Yes